Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.693469 0.796044 0.907818 1.038562 1.187203 1.350842 1.544560
2024-12-22 0.524463 0.658919 0.818233 1.020523 1.270148 1.567691 1.948869
2024-12-29 0.419454 0.572529 0.768331 1.036193 1.392074 1.847536 2.473480
2025-01-05 0.330288 0.487203 0.702763 1.018748 1.468107 2.081848 2.980966
2025-01-12 0.271862 0.430930 0.664327 1.028864 1.580452 2.379589 3.619799
2025-01-19 0.218283 0.370373 0.607821 1.001415 1.632437 2.598042 4.178517
2025-01-26 0.190208 0.343479 0.596707 1.039739 1.788099 2.990908 5.055625
2025-02-02 0.169873 0.325095 0.595384 1.092474 1.973486 3.454664 6.110140
2025-02-09 0.146829 0.297148 0.572440 1.103475 2.088679 3.817150 7.045739
2025-02-16 0.126440 0.269940 0.545688 1.102264 2.180480 4.149615 7.972156
2025-02-23 0.110021 0.247164 0.523010 1.104183 2.276880 4.500828 8.976501
2025-03-02 0.095735 0.225883 0.499389 1.099767 2.359184 4.834608 9.989340
2025-03-09 0.085716 0.212206 0.489663 1.123548 2.504325 5.313865 11.360158
2025-03-16 0.074639 0.193881 0.466849 1.115730 2.582881 5.671830 12.538208
2025-03-23 0.067426 0.183281 0.459372 1.140597 2.735566 6.202222 14.143808
2025-03-30 0.058805 0.167342 0.436673 1.126535 2.799058 6.551447 15.408900
2025-04-06 0.052964 0.157404 0.426660 1.141034 2.930604 7.066522 17.105953
2025-04-13 0.045836 0.142394 0.401211 1.112882 2.955758 7.344415 18.301483
2025-04-20 0.042810 0.138391 0.403665 1.156738 3.165171 8.076910 20.649340
2025-04-27 0.040649 0.136494 0.411476 1.216138 3.422953 8.957143 23.459761
2025-05-04 0.036975 0.129144 0.402798 1.228994 3.560876 9.561284 25.668448
2025-05-11 0.033278 0.120882 0.390004 1.228089 3.661666 10.084906 27.740300
2025-05-18 0.030113 0.113660 0.378984 1.230505 3.772086 10.647211 29.981462